Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.2%). Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Evans 52.2% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 60.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 57.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 56.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Cizikas
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Cizikas
Evans
Last 10: Cizikas 6-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
1
Cizikas
Evans
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
3
Cizikas
Evans
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Cizikas
Evans
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,966)
53.7% (3,740)
-0.3%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
60.6% (71)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
47.1% (1,228)
-2.7%
On power play, Evans has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Cizikas is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,875).
Cizikas shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Evans
Home
53.7% (5,519)
53.3% (2,621)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
51.0% (2,418)
By Period
Cizikas
Evans
P1
53.0%
54.0%
P2
51.1%
50.9%
P3
51.7%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:37 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |