Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Evans 49.8% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 61.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 64.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 61.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Cizikas
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cizikas
Evans
Last 5: Cizikas 2-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Cizikas
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
51.3% (739)
+6.5%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
53.3% (15)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
43.0% (172)
+1.9%
On power play, Cizikas has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Cizikas is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Cizikas shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Evans
Home
56.6% (484)
52.1% (503)
Away
54.5% (477)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Cizikas
Evans
P1
57.2%
50.5%
P2
54.7%
47.7%
P3
54.8%
51.3%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
55.6%
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |