Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Evans 52.0% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 52.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 50.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 50.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Cizikas
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cizikas
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Cizikas
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
54.4% (807)
-0.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.0% (20)
+45.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
46.1% (310)
+5.6%
On power play, Cizikas has a +45.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Cizikas is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Cizikas shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Evans
Home
58.6% (307)
53.7% (581)
Away
48.7% (339)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Cizikas
Evans
P1
56.7%
54.6%
P2
49.8%
50.0%
P3
53.8%
52.3%
OT
100.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
53.4%
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |