Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.9% vs Tavares 56.7% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 60.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 72.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 52.6%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Cizikas
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cizikas
Tavares
Last 5: Cizikas 1-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Cizikas
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Cizikas
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (544)
57.7% (956)
-2.7%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
55.7% (244)
+44.3%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
52.2% (23)
-5.7%
On power play, Cizikas has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cizikas is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Cizikas shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (786).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Tavares
Home
54.3% (291)
57.4% (636)
Away
54.8% (299)
57.1% (587)
By Period
Cizikas
Tavares
P1
58.3%
57.1%
P2
56.4%
57.0%
P3
49.8%
57.6%
OT
33.3%
57.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.6%
Tavares
44.0%▼
52.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |