Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Tavares 56.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 61.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 72.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Cizikas
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cizikas
Tavares
Last 5: Cizikas 1-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Cizikas
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Cizikas
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
57.7% (975)
-2.5%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
56.0% (250)
+44.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
52.2% (23)
-5.7%
On power play, Cizikas has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Cizikas shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Tavares
Home
54.8% (301)
57.4% (636)
Away
54.8% (299)
57.2% (612)
By Period
Cizikas
Tavares
P1
58.7%
57.5%
P2
56.1%
56.9%
P3
50.5%
57.5%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |