Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Tavares 54.4% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 30-27 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 84.5%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 55.9%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Cizikas
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
30
(57 meetings)
27
30
Cizikas
Tavares
Last 10: Cizikas 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
15
Cizikas
Tavares
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
14
4
Cizikas
Tavares
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
9
11
Cizikas
Tavares
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,966)
54.0% (16,150)
-0.6%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
56.4% (4,292)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
50.5% (624)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,164).
Cizikas shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,525).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Tavares
Home
53.7% (5,519)
56.1% (10,525)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
52.7% (10,570)
By Period
Cizikas
Tavares
P1
53.0%
55.0%
P2
51.1%
54.1%
P3
51.7%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Tavares
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 08:35 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 01:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |