Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Dowd 50.7% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 31-29 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 63.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 79.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 55.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Cizikas
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
29
(60 meetings)
31
29
Cizikas
Dowd
Last 10: Cizikas 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
10
3
Cizikas
Dowd
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
7
14
Cizikas
Dowd
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
14
12
Cizikas
Dowd
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (8,976)
52.3% (6,036)
+1.2%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
56.1% (164)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
44.1% (1,638)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cizikas is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,882).
Cizikas shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Dowd
Home
53.8% (5,529)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Cizikas
Dowd
P1
53.1%
51.5%
P2
51.1%
50.4%
P3
51.8%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
50.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:10 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:32 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 04:24 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 01:58 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |