Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Cates 45.5% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 60.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 62.3%
Neutral zone
Cates 53.1%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Cizikas
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cizikas
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
45.5% (756)
+9.7%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
42.1% (114)
+57.9%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
44.7% (47)
+1.8%
On power play, Cizikas has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Cizikas shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Cates
Home
54.8% (301)
46.2% (468)
Away
54.8% (299)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Cizikas
Cates
P1
58.7%
46.0%
P2
56.1%
47.5%
P3
50.5%
42.1%
OT
33.3%
18.2%
Final 5 min
50.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 14:49 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |