Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Cates 43.2% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 84.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 98.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 94.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 92.9%
92.9%
7.1%
Cizikas
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Cizikas
Cates
Last 10: Cizikas 6-4 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
5
1
Cizikas
Cates
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
5
3
Cizikas
Cates
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
1
Cizikas
Cates
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (8,976)
44.1% (2,786)
+9.4%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
42.9% (254)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
34.9% (373)
+9.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,167).
Cizikas shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,307).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Cates
Home
53.8% (5,529)
43.9% (1,708)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
42.2% (1,705)
By Period
Cizikas
Cates
P1
53.1%
44.5%
P2
51.1%
43.7%
P3
51.8%
41.2%
OT
50.0%
29.4%
Final 5 min
50.7%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 14:49 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:26 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:07 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |