Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Poehling 48.0% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 86.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 52.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 66.7%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Cizikas
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Cizikas
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
50.4% (680)
+4.8%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
58.3% (12)
+41.7%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
38.8% (219)
+7.7%
On power play, Cizikas has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Cizikas shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Poehling
Home
54.8% (301)
47.4% (422)
Away
54.8% (299)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Cizikas
Poehling
P1
58.7%
53.3%
P2
56.1%
40.3%
P3
50.5%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |