Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Poehling 48.3% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 82.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 89.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 83.6%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Cizikas
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
9
(27 meetings)
18
9
Cizikas
Poehling
Last 10: Cizikas 6-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
4
Cizikas
Poehling
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
7
1
Cizikas
Poehling
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
9
4
Cizikas
Poehling
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (8,976)
49.6% (2,780)
+3.9%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
51.6% (93)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
41.7% (635)
+2.7%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,167).
Cizikas shoots left. Poehling is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,357).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Poehling
Home
53.8% (5,529)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Cizikas
Poehling
P1
53.1%
50.8%
P2
51.1%
47.1%
P3
51.8%
47.2%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 19:50 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:13 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 15, 2022 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 15, 2022 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |