Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.8%). Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 76.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 76.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 52.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Cizikas
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Cizikas
Stamkos
Last 9: Cizikas 3-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
4
Cizikas
Stamkos
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Cizikas
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
55.3% (628)
+1.1%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
55.1% (216)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
40.2% (87)
+0.4%
On power play, Stamkos has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Cizikas is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Cizikas shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Stamkos
Home
55.0% (473)
55.5% (499)
Away
51.7% (466)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Cizikas
Stamkos
P1
54.9%
50.7%
P2
50.8%
53.8%
P3
54.5%
55.9%
OT
50.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
53.4%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 11:24 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |