Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 66.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 70.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 51.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Cizikas
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cizikas
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Cizikas
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
57.1% (368)
-1.9%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
55.2% (96)
+44.8%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
50.0% (10)
-3.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Cizikas is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Cizikas shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Stamkos
Home
54.8% (301)
53.9% (230)
Away
54.8% (299)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Cizikas
Stamkos
P1
58.7%
56.7%
P2
56.1%
54.1%
P3
50.5%
59.2%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |