Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Thompson 45.2% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 78.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 79.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 81.6%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 79.9%
20.1%
79.9%
Cizikas
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Cizikas
Thompson
Last 10: Cizikas 3-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Cizikas
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Cizikas
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
44.6% (661)
+10.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
48.4% (95)
+51.6%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
33.3% (33)
+13.2%
On power play, Cizikas has a +51.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Cizikas is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Cizikas shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Thompson
Home
54.8% (301)
45.7% (411)
Away
54.8% (299)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Cizikas
Thompson
P1
58.7%
47.7%
P2
56.1%
45.7%
P3
50.5%
40.5%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |