Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Thompson 42.8% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 20-19 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 50.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 89.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 68.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Cizikas
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
19
(39 meetings)
20
19
Cizikas
Thompson
Last 10: Cizikas 3-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
6
9
Cizikas
Thompson
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
8
4
Cizikas
Thompson
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Cizikas
Thompson
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (8,976)
42.9% (3,540)
+10.6%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
46.9% (373)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
33.6% (265)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Cizikas is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,882).
Cizikas shoots left. Thompson is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,029).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Thompson
Home
53.8% (5,529)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Cizikas
Thompson
P1
53.1%
44.4%
P2
51.1%
43.7%
P3
51.8%
40.0%
OT
50.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
50.7%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |