Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Novak 42.5% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 79.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 96.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 95.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 92.7%
92.7%
7.3%
Cizikas
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Cizikas
Novak
Last 6: Cizikas 5-1 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Novak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Cizikas
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
0
Cizikas
Novak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
40.4% (408)
+14.8%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
45.5% (33)
+54.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Cizikas shoots left. Novak is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Novak
Home
54.8% (301)
42.0% (212)
Away
54.8% (299)
39.7% (229)
By Period
Cizikas
Novak
P1
58.7%
41.9%
P2
56.1%
39.3%
P3
50.5%
42.1%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |