Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.9% vs Novak 42.6% (+13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 76.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 96.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 95.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 92.2%
92.2%
7.8%
Cizikas
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Cizikas
Novak
Last 6: Cizikas 5-1 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Novak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Cizikas
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
0
Cizikas
Novak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (544)
40.5% (405)
+14.5%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
45.5% (33)
+54.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Cizikas is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Cizikas shoots left. Novak is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Novak
Home
54.3% (291)
42.0% (212)
Away
54.8% (299)
39.8% (226)
By Period
Cizikas
Novak
P1
58.3%
41.7%
P2
56.4%
39.5%
P3
49.8%
42.1%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.6%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |