Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Novak 43.0% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 71.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 98.5%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 95.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 91.7%
91.7%
8.3%
Cizikas
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Cizikas
Novak
Last 6: Cizikas 5-1 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Novak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Cizikas
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
0
Cizikas
Novak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,966)
41.9% (1,565)
+11.5%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
51.5% (134)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
50.0% (2)
-5.6%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,164).
Cizikas shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,091).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Novak
Home
53.7% (5,519)
45.1% (831)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
40.2% (870)
By Period
Cizikas
Novak
P1
53.0%
43.7%
P2
51.1%
42.9%
P3
51.7%
41.1%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.6%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |