Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +21.9% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Zegras 37.0% (+21.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 82.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 74.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 54.0%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 82.2%
17.8%
82.2%
Cizikas
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cizikas
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Cizikas
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
33.0% (264)
+22.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
32.1% (56)
+67.9%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
50.0% (2)
-3.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +67.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Cizikas shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Zegras
Home
54.8% (301)
35.3% (173)
Away
54.8% (299)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Cizikas
Zegras
P1
58.7%
33.0%
P2
56.1%
35.7%
P3
50.5%
29.7%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |