Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Zegras 39.5% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 75.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 98.6%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 96.1%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Cizikas
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Cizikas
Zegras
Last 10: Cizikas 8-2 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cizikas
Zegras
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Zegras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
0
Cizikas
Zegras
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (8,976)
39.0% (1,703)
+14.5%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
38.5% (148)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
25.0% (8)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,167).
Cizikas shoots left. Zegras is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Zegras
Home
53.8% (5,529)
40.5% (908)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Cizikas
Zegras
P1
53.1%
40.0%
P2
51.1%
38.6%
P3
51.8%
38.2%
OT
50.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
50.7%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:02 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:04 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |