Casey Mittelstadt vs Frank Nazar
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.6% vs 44.8%). Look for Mittelstadt on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Nazar 45.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 68.9%
Defensive zone
Nazar 55.2%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 51.3%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Mittelstadt
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Mittelstadt
Nazar
Last 8: Mittelstadt 5-3 Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Nazar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
4
2
Mittelstadt
Nazar
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
2
Mittelstadt
Nazar
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,911)
45.9% (726)
-0.9%
Power Play
49.8% (660)
45.5% (121)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
30.0% (60)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,898).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Nazar is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Nazar
Home
46.8% (2,314)
44.4% (450)
Away
44.4% (2,353)
45.1% (457)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Nazar
P1
46.7%
47.2%
P2
46.2%
41.6%
P3
44.0%
45.0%
OT
38.5%
58.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
45.6%
Nazar
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:39 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:17 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |