Casey Mittelstadt vs Frank Nazar
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.5% vs 45.9%). Look for Mittelstadt on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Nazar 46.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Nazar 51.5%
Defensive zone
Nazar 73.2%
Neutral zone
Nazar 67.4%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Mittelstadt
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Mittelstadt
Nazar
Last 8: Mittelstadt 5-3 Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Nazar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
4
2
Mittelstadt
Nazar
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
2
Mittelstadt
Nazar
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,924)
46.3% (907)
-1.3%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
48.1% (183)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
35.6% (73)
+1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Nazar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Nazar
Home
46.7% (2,317)
44.2% (536)
Away
44.3% (2,369)
47.4% (627)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Nazar
P1
46.7%
47.7%
P2
46.1%
42.2%
P3
44.0%
47.1%
OT
36.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
45.5%
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:39 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:17 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |