Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Evans 51.7% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Evans 63.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 93.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 78.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 74.9%
25.1%
74.9%
Mittelstadt
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Mittelstadt
Evans
Last 10: Mittelstadt 7-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
7
1
Mittelstadt
Evans
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
3
Mittelstadt
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
1
Mittelstadt
Evans
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
54.5% (483)
-9.2%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
58.3% (12)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
43.9% (155)
-3.3%
On even strength, Evans has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Mittelstadt is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Evans
Home
45.1% (366)
49.4% (336)
Away
46.8% (370)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Evans
P1
41.1%
55.8%
P2
51.1%
51.7%
P3
45.9%
48.2%
OT
30.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | OT | 04:27 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 11:01 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 18:34 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |