Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Evans 55.0% (-4.8%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 86.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 75.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 50.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Mittelstadt
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
55.6% (522)
-6.0%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
72.7% (11)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
55.2% (210)
+44.8%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Evans
Home
58.7% (92)
54.7% (402)
Away
42.0% (81)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Evans
P1
47.7%
57.9%
P2
48.2%
55.2%
P3
56.7%
53.6%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%