Casey Mittelstadt vs Leo Carlsson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Carlsson 37.1% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 78.2%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 63.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 67.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
34.4% (535)
+12.0%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
42.9% (21)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
40.0% (5)
+10.0%
On even strength, Mittelstadt has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
Home
47.7% (583)
38.6% (254)
Away
46.4% (541)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
P1
50.0%
35.9%
P2
46.2%
33.8%
P3
45.5%
34.3%
OT
25.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
43.8%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
47.1%
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
34.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |