Casey Mittelstadt vs Leo Carlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 52.0% vs Carlsson 46.0% (+7.7%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 50.4%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 56.6%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 60.5%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
47.1% (533)
+4.5%
Power Play
60.0% (25)
46.3% (80)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.8% (80)
+66.2%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +66.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Carlsson is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
Home
60.7% (89)
44.4% (340)
Away
43.1% (65)
46.5% (353)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
P1
46.3%
48.2%
P2
52.9%
38.4%
P3
58.6%
50.5%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.3%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
53.2%
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.5%