Casey Mittelstadt vs Leo Carlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Carlsson 44.6% (+6.9%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 50.3%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 56.6%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 58.4%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
45.0% (695)
+4.6%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
46.4% (84)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
32.9% (85)
+67.1%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +67.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Carlsson is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
Home
58.7% (92)
42.5% (435)
Away
42.0% (81)
45.5% (429)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Carlsson
P1
47.7%
45.3%
P2
48.2%
38.7%
P3
56.7%
48.5%
OT
33.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
38.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%