Casey Mittelstadt vs Mathew Barzal
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Barzal 46.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 61.4%
Defensive zone
Barzal 59.4%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 56.2%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Mittelstadt
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Mittelstadt
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
46.6% (483)
-0.7%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
40.9% (22)
+6.4%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Mittelstadt is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Barzal
Home
47.2% (193)
49.6% (242)
Away
42.9% (259)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Barzal
P1
49.0%
42.4%
P2
45.7%
49.5%
P3
38.8%
47.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
44.7%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |