Casey Mittelstadt vs Mathew Barzal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Barzal 41.9% (+10.6%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 50.9%
Defensive zone
Barzal 55.4%
Neutral zone
Barzal 54.6%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Mittelstadt
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
40.9% (469)
+8.7%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
34.2% (38)
+20.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
28.6% (7)
+71.4%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Barzal
Home
58.7% (92)
39.2% (250)
Away
42.0% (81)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Barzal
P1
47.7%
46.3%
P2
48.2%
36.7%
P3
56.7%
38.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%