Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Paul 53.6% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 58.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 57.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 51.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Mittelstadt
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
53.7% (354)
-4.1%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
59.0% (61)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
52.9% (34)
+47.1%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Paul
Home
58.7% (92)
55.1% (216)
Away
42.0% (81)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Paul
P1
47.7%
54.9%
P2
48.2%
54.5%
P3
56.7%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%