Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Cates 45.5% (+5.9%)
Offensive zone
Cates 50.1%
Defensive zone
Cates 56.6%
Neutral zone
Cates 58.8%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Mittelstadt
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
45.5% (756)
+4.1%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
42.1% (114)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.7% (47)
+55.3%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +55.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Cates
Home
58.7% (92)
46.2% (468)
Away
42.0% (81)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Cates
P1
47.7%
46.0%
P2
48.2%
47.5%
P3
56.7%
42.1%
OT
33.3%
18.2%
Final 5 min
54.5%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%