Casey Mittelstadt vs Noah Cates
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Cates 43.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 74.9%
Defensive zone
Cates 59.7%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 53.2%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Mittelstadt
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
13
(28 meetings)
15
13
Mittelstadt
Cates
Last 10: Mittelstadt 5-5 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
8
2
Mittelstadt
Cates
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
4
5
Mittelstadt
Cates
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
3
6
Mittelstadt
Cates
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,924)
44.1% (2,786)
+0.9%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
42.9% (254)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
34.9% (373)
+2.6%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,307).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Cates
Home
46.7% (2,317)
43.9% (1,708)
Away
44.3% (2,369)
42.2% (1,705)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Cates
P1
46.7%
44.5%
P2
46.1%
43.7%
P3
44.0%
41.2%
OT
36.6%
29.4%
Final 5 min
43.6%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
45.5%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:24 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 06:23 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 03:03 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 05:24 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 05:11 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Noah Cates |