Casey Mittelstadt vs Ryan Hartman
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Hartman 48.1% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 70.3%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 55.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 61.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Mittelstadt
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Mittelstadt
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
48.1% (520)
-3.4%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
44.7% (47)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
47.8% (23)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Mittelstadt is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Home
46.0% (491)
48.3% (360)
Away
42.4% (512)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Hartman
P1
44.0%
48.5%
P2
46.4%
45.2%
P3
41.9%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
44.2%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |