Casey Mittelstadt vs Ryan Hartman
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Hartman 45.6% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 66.3%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 50.7%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 52.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
45.1% (874)
+4.5%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
47.4% (95)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
37.5% (16)
+62.5%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Hartman
Home
58.7% (92)
45.0% (515)
Away
42.0% (81)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Hartman
P1
47.7%
47.3%
P2
48.2%
40.1%
P3
56.7%
48.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |