Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Nosek 58.0% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 88.8%
Defensive zone
Nosek 88.4%
Neutral zone
Nosek 52.7%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Mittelstadt
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Mittelstadt
Nosek
Last 6: Mittelstadt 3-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
0
Mittelstadt
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Mittelstadt
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Mittelstadt
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
59.7% (469)
-14.4%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
100.0% (4)
-50.4%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
56.5% (124)
-15.9%
On power play, Nosek has a +50.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Nosek is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Nosek
Home
45.1% (366)
59.0% (295)
Away
46.8% (370)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Nosek
P1
41.1%
56.3%
P2
51.1%
61.9%
P3
45.9%
59.2%
OT
30.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
45.9%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 1 | 02:17 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |