Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Nosek 48.5% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 69.6%
Defensive zone
Nosek 58.0%
Neutral zone
Nosek 55.0%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Mittelstadt
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
52.0% (102)
-2.4%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
100.0% (2)
-45.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
29.0% (31)
+71.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +71.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Nosek is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Nosek
Home
58.7% (92)
52.0% (50)
Away
42.0% (81)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Nosek
P1
47.7%
45.0%
P2
48.2%
42.0%
P3
56.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%