Casey Mittelstadt vs Will Smith

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Casey Mittelstadt holds a +19.8% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Smith 44.1% (+19.8%)
Offensive zone Smith 51.2%
Defensive zone Mittelstadt 60.4%
Neutral zone Smith 55.4%
Result Casey Mittelstadt favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Mittelstadt Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mittelstadt
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
34.1% (41)
+15.5%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
0.0% (4)
+54.8%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +54.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Smith shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Smith is 30.6% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Smith
Home
58.7% (92)
23.5% (17)
Away
42.0% (81)
35.7% (28)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Smith
P1
47.7%
25.0%
P2
48.2%
38.5%
P3
56.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
27.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%
50.0%
50.9%
Smith
36.0%
37.0%
31.1%