Casey Mittelstadt vs Will Smith
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Smith 39.9% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 80.2%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 87.6%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 69.9%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Mittelstadt
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Mittelstadt
Smith
Last 6: Mittelstadt 5-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
0
Mittelstadt
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,924)
33.5% (194)
+11.5%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
48.1% (27)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
50.0% (2)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Smith is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Smith
Home
46.7% (2,317)
33.6% (128)
Away
44.3% (2,369)
37.9% (95)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Smith
P1
46.7%
37.1%
P2
46.1%
33.8%
P3
44.0%
33.9%
OT
36.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
45.5%
Smith
36.0%▬
37.0%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:46 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:47 | Neutral | Will Smith |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 17:25 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |