Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +22.3% FO% edge overall. Paquette wins 19.5% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 39.7% vs Nash 51.7% (-22.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 62.3%
Defensive zone
Nash 67.2%
Neutral zone
Paquette 53.3%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Paquette
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Paquette
Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Paquette
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Paquette
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
30.1% (73)
54.1% (292)
-24.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
57.1% (7)
+42.9%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
45.9% (98)
-19.2%
On power play, Paquette has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Paquette is 19.5% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Paquette shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Paquette
Nash
Home
28.1% (32)
56.3% (183)
Away
30.6% (72)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Paquette
Nash
P1
36.4%
58.9%
P2
27.9%
51.0%
P3
25.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
30.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
29.8%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2021 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 2 | 02:05 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Riley Nash |