Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.5%). Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Nash 48.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 17-14 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Nash 57.9%
Defensive zone
Paquette 59.5%
Neutral zone
Nash 51.1%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Paquette
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
17
(31 meetings)
14
17
Paquette
Nash
Last 10: Paquette 4-6 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
4
3
Paquette
Nash
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
2
4
Paquette
Nash
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
8
10
Paquette
Nash
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
48.7% (4,621)
+1.0%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
51.0% (249)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
44.9% (550)
-2.4%
On power play, Paquette has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Paquette is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,176).
Paquette shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Paquette
Nash
Home
50.2% (1,541)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Paquette
Nash
P1
49.1%
49.0%
P2
49.9%
47.9%
P3
47.5%
48.0%
OT
20.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2021 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 2 | 02:05 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 11:54 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 05:55 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 17:01 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 03:08 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 11:17 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 13:54 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 19:34 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 02:35 | Neutral | Riley Nash |