Chandler Stephenson vs Kevin Hayes
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Hayes 56.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 68.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 55.7%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 53.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Stephenson
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stephenson
Hayes
Last 5: Stephenson 2-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
3
Stephenson
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
56.6% (724)
-5.0%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
57.0% (79)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
65.7% (35)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Stephenson shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Hayes
Home
52.5% (499)
58.0% (405)
Away
52.6% (551)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Stephenson
Hayes
P1
50.2%
54.7%
P2
55.7%
55.7%
P3
50.9%
60.2%
OT
63.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.6%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2024 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |