Chandler Stephenson vs Kevin Hayes
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Hayes 42.7% (+16.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 62.2%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 86.1%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 62.5%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Stephenson
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stephenson
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
31.9% (91)
+20.1%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
64.3% (14)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
0.0% (1)
+39.5%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Hayes
Home
53.1% (672)
30.6% (49)
Away
51.1% (628)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Stephenson
Hayes
P1
54.2%
22.9%
P2
50.7%
40.0%
P3
52.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.1%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |