Chandler Stephenson vs Mason McTavish
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs McTavish 49.1% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 62.3%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 74.5%
Neutral zone
McTavish 50.8%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Stephenson
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Stephenson
McTavish
Last 10: Stephenson 3-7 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Stephenson
McTavish
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
1
Stephenson
McTavish
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
3
Stephenson
McTavish
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
47.6% (618)
+4.4%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
58.3% (103)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
33.3% (6)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. McTavish is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Stephenson
McTavish
Home
53.1% (672)
52.2% (391)
Away
51.1% (628)
45.2% (336)
By Period
Stephenson
McTavish
P1
54.2%
50.2%
P2
50.7%
47.7%
P3
52.0%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:27 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:52 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:49 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 14:21 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |