Chandler Stephenson vs Mason McTavish
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs McTavish 48.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 27-20 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 68.7%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 77.4%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 56.3%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Stephenson
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
20
(47 meetings)
27
20
Stephenson
McTavish
Last 10: Stephenson 3-7 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
8
5
Stephenson
McTavish
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
11
6
Stephenson
McTavish
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
8
9
Stephenson
McTavish
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,809)
48.2% (2,790)
+3.7%
Power Play
59.8% (1,113)
52.8% (436)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (825)
34.3% (35)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,069).
Stephenson shoots left. McTavish is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,158).
Home / Away
Stephenson
McTavish
Home
52.6% (3,827)
49.8% (1,680)
Away
52.1% (3,920)
47.4% (1,581)
By Period
Stephenson
McTavish
P1
51.6%
50.0%
P2
52.3%
47.7%
P3
52.9%
48.4%
OT
57.4%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.4%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:27 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:52 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:49 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 14:21 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 15:59 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:09 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |