Chandler Stephenson vs Nick Paul
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.3%). Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Paul 52.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 18-7 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 64.9%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 51.0%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 53.2%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Stephenson
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
18
(25 meetings)
7
18
Stephenson
Paul
Last 10: Stephenson 2-8 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
3
4
Stephenson
Paul
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
9
Stephenson
Paul
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
5
Stephenson
Paul
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,809)
52.6% (3,823)
-0.7%
Power Play
59.8% (1,113)
56.2% (484)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (825)
46.9% (576)
-1.3%
On power play, Stephenson has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,069).
Stephenson shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Paul
Home
52.6% (3,827)
52.8% (2,445)
Away
52.1% (3,920)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Stephenson
Paul
P1
51.6%
53.8%
P2
52.3%
51.0%
P3
52.9%
52.2%
OT
57.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.4%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:26 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 05:37 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 17:03 | Neutral | Nick Paul |