Chandler Stephenson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 67.1%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 51.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Stephenson 2-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
46.0% (250)
+6.0%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
70.6% (17)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
31.8% (22)
+7.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.1% (672)
50.3% (175)
Away
51.1% (628)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.2%
48.5%
P2
50.7%
45.9%
P3
52.0%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |