Chandler Stephenson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 82.4%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 82.6%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 77.7%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
10
(25 meetings)
15
10
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Stephenson 4-6 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
13
1
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
3
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
6
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,809)
44.8% (8,775)
+7.1%
Power Play
59.8% (1,113)
50.6% (844)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (825)
37.8% (880)
+7.8%
On power play, Stephenson has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,069).
Stephenson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.6% (3,827)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
52.1% (3,920)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Stephenson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.6%
45.1%
P2
52.3%
43.9%
P3
52.9%
45.2%
OT
57.4%
43.2%
Final 5 min
52.2%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 08:50 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |