Chandler Stephenson vs Sebastian Aho
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Aho 51.3% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 30-25 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 65.4%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 62.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 50.8%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Stephenson
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
25
(55 meetings)
30
25
Stephenson
Aho
Last 10: Stephenson 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
10
Stephenson
Aho
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
20
6
Stephenson
Aho
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
8
9
Stephenson
Aho
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,809)
50.2% (6,646)
+1.7%
Power Play
59.8% (1,113)
58.9% (1,310)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (825)
46.5% (465)
-0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,069).
Stephenson shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Aho
Home
52.6% (3,827)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
52.1% (3,920)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Stephenson
Aho
P1
51.6%
51.1%
P2
52.3%
52.1%
P3
52.9%
50.8%
OT
57.4%
48.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.4%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 15:34 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 04:04 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 17:50 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:29 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |