Chandler Stephenson vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Stamkos 51.1% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 19-13 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 65.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 50.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 56.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Stephenson
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
13
(32 meetings)
19
13
Stephenson
Stamkos
Last 10: Stephenson 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
6
3
Stephenson
Stamkos
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
9
4
Stephenson
Stamkos
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
6
Stephenson
Stamkos
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,809)
50.5% (9,825)
+1.4%
Power Play
59.8% (1,113)
55.2% (1,729)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (825)
49.6% (827)
-4.0%
On power play, Stephenson has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Stephenson is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,678).
Stephenson shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Stamkos
Home
52.6% (3,827)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
52.1% (3,920)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Stephenson
Stamkos
P1
51.6%
49.2%
P2
52.3%
52.7%
P3
52.9%
50.9%
OT
57.4%
54.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.4%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 08:09 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |