Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Giroux 61.3% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 76.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 55.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 54.9%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 76.1%
23.9%
76.1%
Coyle
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Coyle
Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Giroux
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
61.0% (420)
-8.7%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
66.4% (113)
-22.0%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
65.6% (163)
-21.1%
On power play, Giroux has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Coyle is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Coyle shoots right. Giroux is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Home / Away
Coyle
Giroux
Home
49.0% (567)
66.6% (350)
Away
52.0% (540)
59.2% (346)
By Period
Coyle
Giroux
P1
49.5%
62.1%
P2
49.4%
64.7%
P3
52.6%
61.6%
OT
46.2%
69.2%
Final 5 min
49.1%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |