Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Giroux 56.8% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 32-31 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 66.5%
Defensive zone
Giroux 53.0%
Neutral zone
Giroux 53.3%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Coyle
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
31
(63 meetings)
32
31
Coyle
Giroux
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
14
9
Coyle
Giroux
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
8
13
Coyle
Giroux
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
10
9
Coyle
Giroux
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,657)
55.8% (13,768)
-6.5%
Power Play
50.0% (778)
60.5% (4,061)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,055)
57.3% (2,486)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,699).
Coyle shoots right. Giroux is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (6,107).
Home / Away
Coyle
Giroux
Home
49.7% (4,692)
59.2% (10,192)
Away
47.9% (4,798)
54.6% (10,163)
By Period
Coyle
Giroux
P1
49.5%
57.5%
P2
48.2%
56.1%
P3
48.6%
57.3%
OT
49.3%
51.4%
Final 5 min
48.1%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.7%
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 09:27 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 19:07 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |