Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Bedard 46.5% (+4.7%)
Offensive zone
Bedard 68.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 64.3%
Neutral zone
Bedard 50.1%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Coyle
Bedard
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
44.2% (505)
+8.1%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
66.7% (36)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
53.8% (13)
-9.3%
On power play, Bedard has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Coyle is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Coyle shoots right. Bedard is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Coyle
Bedard
Home
49.0% (567)
50.7% (223)
Away
52.0% (540)
42.6% (331)
By Period
Coyle
Bedard
P1
49.5%
40.2%
P2
49.4%
49.2%
P3
52.6%
47.2%
OT
46.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%