Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Bedard 41.4% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 59.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 70.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 70.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Coyle
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Coyle
Bedard
Last 9: Coyle 5-4 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
2
Coyle
Bedard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
Bedard
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Bedard
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
40.2% (1,635)
+9.2%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
51.8% (83)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
50.0% (24)
-6.5%
On even strength, Coyle has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,777).
Coyle shoots right. Bedard is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Home / Away
Coyle
Bedard
Home
49.8% (4,865)
43.3% (785)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
38.9% (957)
By Period
Coyle
Bedard
P1
49.5%
38.9%
P2
48.3%
41.2%
P3
48.8%
42.5%
OT
49.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.5%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |